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STUDIES AND REPORTS
Binational Planning and Programming Study (1998)
Phase III Products
Task 12 - Evaluation of U.S. and Mexican Capabilities to Forecast Expanding Trade
There are various methods of forecasting expanding trade in and between the United
States and Mexico. This report provides an evaluation of the methods, data and existing
forecasting models available to decision makers. Forecasting methodologies, including
the time series model and the structural model are discussed. A compendium of existing
border trade forecast studies in both the United States and Mexico is provided. Data
needs and data sources for providing inputs to border state trade forecasts are also discussed.
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Task 12 Report
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Task 13 - Estimating Border Crossing Utility
This report is the continuation of the Task 9 effort, in which six case studies of
commercial border crossings were conducted in order to determine problems in
efficiency that affected the commercial roadway transportation crossing the border
between the United States and Mexico. The objective of this report is to indicate the
type of information that is required to analyze the border crossings and to supply
the techniques by which a transportation specialist or engineer could conduct the
required analysis to improve the operational efficiency of transportation at a border
crossing between the United States and Mexico. At the same time, this report provides
the outline to establish the capacity of a commercial border crossing according to its
critical components and a recommended process for designing the required infrastructure
for a new commercial border crossing.
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Task 13 Report
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Task 14 - Methodologies for Developing Estimates of Costs
and Benefits for Assessing Transportation Impacts of U.S.-Mexico Trade
This report is a companion to the Task 10, "Economic Impacts of U.S.-Mexican Binational Trade" document. The objective of this report is to provide additional detail regarding the
calculation of benefits and costs; and to update the analysis procedures or findings of
Task 10 with more current information if available. As the Task 10 report contained
substantial discussion of methodological assumptions, techniques and sources of data
used to undertake the analysis, this documentation is not repeated in Task 14, except
where needed to clarify the presentation of methodologies. Where appropriate, this
report suggests some shortcuts to the methodologies followed in Task 10, based on the
ultimate perceived utility of the resultant findings. By the same token, areas needing
additional research are also identified, given the importance of their findings.
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Task 14 Report
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